The Oscar Predictions (86th Academy Awards)

So finally, I keep up to my promise.

The Oscars is airing in a few days now, and I have wanted to talk about it really badly, so in this post I am going to give away my predictions for the Oscars, in these predictions, I am going to give away my opinion for the nominee that deserves to win and another opinion from the Academy’s perspective, because let’s face it, my opinions and the Academy’s are never the same, at least most of the time. I will also be giving out some enraging snubs and some surprises. The categories that will be discussed are…………….

  1. Academy Award for Best Picture
  2. Academy Award for Best Director
  3. Academy Award for Best Actor
  4. Academy Award for Best Actor in a Supporting Role
  5. Academy Award for Best Actress in a Supporting Role
  6. Academy Award for Best Visual Effects
  7. Academy Award for Best Cinematography
  8. Academy Award for Best Animated Feature
  9. Academy Award for Best Writing-Original Screenplay

Now for the major categories that I am not going to discuss like Best Actress of Best Adapted Screenplay and few other technical categories, I will not judge because, I have not seen most of the films in the nominations, especially Best Actress (I have only seen 2 of the nominees performances) and for the technical categories, I am unable to judge them, due to my lack of knowledge of what the category is.

The greatest thing for me about this year’s Oscars is that I have seen 8 of the 9 Best Picture nominees (Philomena is the exception). I haven’t seen the majority of the given category at all until this very year, as for the nominees, It is surprisingly a very solid list this year and a well-chosen one, but still there a few enraging snubs and surprises.

Now to keep the best for the last, I will be going in a reverse order of the list given above.

  • Academy Award for Best Writing-Original Screenplay

Nominees:

  • Nebraska – Bob Nelson
  • Her – Spike Jonze
  • Dallas Buyers Club – Craig Borten and Melisa Wallack
  • Blue Jasmine – Woody Allen (not seen)
  • American Hustle – David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer

Which nominee do I want to win?

Her Premier NYFF 2013 (cropped).jpg

Her (written by Spike Jonze), it was a well written screenplay, which was written with a good sense of humour and had realistic feeling of conversations between people, it discussed loneliness, loyalty and modern human relationships in a wonderful way. Yeah, so I want Her to win.

Which nominee do I think will end up winning?

Her Premier NYFF 2013 (cropped).jpg

OR

Dallas Buyer’s Club or Her, here I am not sure which one of these films will end up winning, but I am pretty sure that the winner will be one of these films, Dallas Buyer’s Club would be the typical Oscar choice, but that too was a well written screenplay, that discussed about the importance of life and it’s worth living, it is not said in a sappy way to get us all really bored, but I would agree that it is told to us through Ron Woodroff’s way, which was a nice one.

  • Academy Award for Best Animated Feature

I don’t know how many of you would agree, but I didn’t feel this year was a strong year for animated films, with Frozen being the only film which had some character depth as well as The Wind Rises, but I did not feel moved by any of the animated movies that came out, but still, I will discuss this category as it is one of my favourites. The Croods was one film that did not deserve to be on this list, it is not a great film and Monster’s University deserved this one, looks like a backlash from the Oscars for giving it away to Brave last year instead of Wreck It Ralph.

Nominees:

  • Frozen
  • Ernst and Celestine (not seen)
  • The Wind Rises
  • The Croods
  • Despicable Me 2

Which nominee do I want to win (also will end up winning)?

Frozen, it was the first Disney movie in years with good songs and a decent story with a few good laughs, these factors itself make me sure that Frozen will take home the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature.

  •  Academy Award for Best Cinematography

Thank goodness Prisoners got one nomination here at least; this was a pretty solid list too

Nominees:

  • The Grandmaster – Philippe Le Sourd (not seen)
  • Gravity – Emmanuel Lubezki
  • Inside Llewyn Davis – Bruno Delbonnel
  • Nebraska – Phedon Papamichael
  • Prisoners – Roger A. Deakins

Which nominee do I want to win (also will end up winning)?

Gravity, I am 99 % sure that this film will win in most of the technical categories. The cinematography was excellent in this film, Emmanuel Lubezki really deserves this award because he captures Ryan’s story in every scene so well that we feel like we are the character herself and other nominees that deserve recognition are Bruno Delbonnel & Roger A. Deakins for Inside Llewyn Davis and Prisoners, because the cinematography was excellent in both these films too, but Gravity really has the high hand.

  • Academy Award for Best Visual Effects

Nominees:

  • Gravity – Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk and Neil Corbould
  • The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and Eric Reynolds
  • Iron Man 3 – Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash and Dan Sudick
  • The Lone Ranger – Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams and John Frazier
  • Star Trek Into Darkness – Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann and Burt Dalton

This is one list that I am not entirely happy with, The Lone Ranger, does NOT deserve to be here, not that the film had bad visuals, but there were 3 films in particular that should have been nominated. Iron Man 3 too did not have ground breaking visuals either, 3 films that deserved this nomination were Man Of Steel (Not ground breaking but much better than The Lone Ranger), Pacific Rim (have you seen the Kaiju’s)  and even Oblivion had some impressive visuals. I was not happy with this list at.

Which nominee do I want to win (also will end up winning)?

Gravity again, this film will sweep the technical category, the special effects are brilliant in this film and with at least 80 to 90 % of this film having digital shots was impressive enough to convince me that this film will win Best Visual Effects. But The Hobbit had some amazing visuals too; Smaug itself is enough to agree to that. Star Trek was a surprise for me but I loved the visuals in this film too, but dam there were too many lens flares.

  • Academy Award for Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Sadly I have seen only 3 of these nominations, but if my judgement is incorrect, please forgive me since I have not seen August: Osage County or Blue Jasmine but I will go along with my predictions anyway.

Nominees:

  • Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine) (not seen)
  • Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
  • Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave)
  • Julia Roberts (August: Osage County) (not seen)
  • June Squibb (Nebraska)

Which nominee do I want to win?

Lupita Nyong’o, for her performance as the slave Patsey in 12 years a Slave, she gave a great performance for a character who suffers each and every day of her life, something that made me sympathise her character and her emotional turmoil was hard to portray, June Squib was good too, but her role can be envisioned as a comedy, but I don’t mind if she wins.

Which nominee will end up winning?

Jennifer Lawrence, I am going to say that it is going to her, but she doesn’t deserve this one, not that her performance wasn’t good, it wasn’t something Oscar worthy either, this role was not hard to portray for any female actress who craves for love. Jennifer Lawrence is a great actress but she has won awards for over rated roles, honestly I wouldn’t mind if she was nominated for her performance in The Hunger Games, because it is hard to portray such a character with complex emotions like Katniss Everdeen. Her win the previous year as well in Silver Linings Playbook was not deserving and felt like the rehash of Sandra Bullock’s win for The Blind Side.

  •  Academy Award for Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Nominees:

  • Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
  • Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
  • Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
  • Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
  • Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Which nominee do I want to win (also will end up winning)?

Jared Leto, for his mesmerizing performance as the transgender, Rayon in Dallas Buyers Club. It was a 5 years hiatus for him from acting, and when he came back, he did with a bang, Rayon’s character was someone you could sympathise and care about and the mannerisms Jared Lato had to do to make himself immerse into this character, WOW, Jesus wow, he completely deserves this Oscar. If there was anyone else to consider, it would be Michael Fassbender, for playing the villain Epps in 12 Years a Slave, I loved his performance too.

Snubs:

A lot of people hated Jonah Hill’s nomination, I did at first, but I actually loved his performance in The Wolf Of Wall Street, it was pretty good and the way he portrayed the pervert was something quite impressive. This is his second Academy Award nomination and is turning into a terrific actor. But one enraging snub to me was of Daniel Bruhl, who played Nicki Lauda in Rush. I would take away Bradley Cooper from this list, because I found his performance in American Hustle not really hard to portray, all he had to do was piss off Christian Bale’s character. Daniel Bruhl’s performance was really good and I though he was going to get nominated for this film, and he wasn’t.

  •  Academy Award for Best Actor

Nominees:

  • Christian Bale (American Hustle)
  • Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
  • Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
  • Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Which nominee do I want to win (also will end up winning)?

OR

Chiwetel Ejiofor or Matthew McConaughey, these guys were excellent in both of their films, but I am pretty sure one of them will win, I have grown a major liking towards both these actors, given that for both, it is their first nominations at the Oscars. Chiwetel Ejiofor deserves this because he portrayed a character who watches the wrong doings of the whites, at first, in horror and next in sadness and despair. The character needs to get tired of all this and the character must have a sense of good within him. Chiwetel Ejiofor was perfect in portraying that. Matthew McConaughey deserves this because he had to develop an unlikeable character to a likeable one in order to play someone like Ron Woodroff, that was a great performance as well.

Snubs:

Christian Bale is a great actor, I love how he commits to the role, but his role in American Hustle again was not something very hard to portray. His physical transformation was impressive, his acting was too, but compare that performance to Joaquin Phoenix for his performance in Her, It was a one man’s show, aided by a voice, the screen captured him for the majority of the film and he portrayed an anti-social character who has delved into loneliness, that really pissed me off that he was not nominated. Tom Hanks too deserved a nomination for this film for a near flawless portrayal of Captain Phillips.

  •  Academy Award for Best Director

Nominees:

This list was solid, there were no snubs and I could not take out anyone from the list, they all did well, although this still isn’t Martin Scorsese’s best efforts, it was a decent decision to nominate him.

Which nominee do I want to win (also will end up winning)?

Alfonso Cuarón, for his excellent direction of Gravity. He made a 90 minute thriller one of the best films of the year, he has made sure that the film is a thrilling one with amazing visual and a lot of single-shot action scenes in the film, the brilliant opening 15 minutes of the film was the greatest part. He is a wonderful director and deserves this Oscar completely. Another director who deserves some recognition is David O. Russel, because for the second year in a row he got all the nominations in the acting categories

And Finally,

  • Academy Award for Best Picture

This list was a good one, not the best of the Academy, why isn’t it one of the best……..

A lot of these films are biopics/based on true stories (12 years a slave, Dallas Buyers Club, Philomena, The Wolf Of Wall Street, American Hustle and Captain Phillips) the typical Oscars, but luckily they were good films as well. Why is this a good list? Well, a lot of these films are not long, Gravity is 90 minutes and most of the others are 2 hours in length with the exception of The Wolf Of Wall Street (3 Hours).

oscarpics

My ranking of films, from bottom to top, I will describe these films in one line or word and show which were good movies and which weren’t, Philomena is not included on this list since I haven’t seen it.

#8The Wolf Of Wall Street – A highly over rated film, with no moral ambiguity and a stack of swear words.

#7American Hustle – Another more talking, uninteresting film that has good actors, great director but an uninteresting plot.

#6Nebraska – A well written comedy drama, with a brilliant performance by Bruce Dern.

#5Captain Phillips – A thrilling biopic with a great performance from Tom Hanks and great direction from Paul Greengrass.

#4 Dallas Buyers Club – Another well written drama with a excellent performances from Matthew McConaughey and Jared Leto

#3Her – A romantic comedy that lives up to its premise due to a well written script and brilliant performances.

#212 Years A Slave – A film that is not easy to watch but necessary too, benefitted from Chiwetel Ejiofor’s performance and Steve McQueen’s direction.

#1Gravity – One of the best thrillers to have come out in a long time.

Which nominee do I want to win?

Gravity, this was my film of the year, the visuals, the cinematography, the acting, the directing, the score, I loved almost everything about this film, a lot of people say it is over rated, just how, it may be predictable, but so is 12 years a slave, so is Dallas Buyers Club, so is Captain Phillips, so is Wolf Of Wall Street, these are biopics, you know the fate of these characters before the film came out, yes Gravity is predictable, but it is still thrilling, in what way exactly could you have made this film unpredictable, anyone can answer this but I do not feel it is over rated at all, even if the story is predictable, everything else about this movie is great, all of you loved The Avengers, didn’t you, and that was predictable too damn it, so I don’t see any reason to complain about that.

Which nominee will end up winning?

12 years a slave, this is more of the Oscar choice, but I loved this movie as well, it really was uncomfortable to watch this film but I still loved it because not only does it want to show the treachery of humans but also the good side of them and it shows us that good still exists and that was really well done in this film. Steve McQueen was great as well, I found this a wonderful and I am pretty sure this film will end up winning.

So guys what are your thoughts, were my predictions pathetic, or acceptable enough, in my next post I will be discussing about where my predictions went right and where it went wrong. If you enjoyed reading this thank you very much and if I have wasted your time, I apologize completely and don’t see this blog in your life ever again, enjoy the Oscars, and if you like this don’t forget to like my blog.

Have fun watching

Until the next blog

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s